Operation Disclosure | By Grant Ouellette, Contributing Writer December 15, 2020 I suggest that there was a small group of trillionaires wh...
Operation Disclosure | By Grant Ouellette, Contributing Writer
December 15, 2020
I suggest that there was a small group of trillionaires who were the Richest in the World in 2020.
Here are some calculations for your contemplation.
I do not claim accuracy. Figures used are estimates. Assumptions, estimates, rounding off and a little massage for demonstration have been made.
If you do similar calculations for your own country I bet your calculations cannot be reconciled without the inclusion of massive private hidden wealth held by trillionaires.
$US unless $Cdn = $Canadian indicated
Summary
An estimate of the world’s wealth is $670 trillion.
All of the world’s billionaires have a combined wealth of $11 trillion or just 1.6% of the total.
Therefore the world’s non-billionaire wealth is $659 trillion.
Rounded off, with or without including all the billionaires, the world population is 7.368 billion.
The average wealth per person on Earth is $91,000.
The average wealth per American reported by the US government is $75,000.
The average wealth per American per calculation below is $392,000.
There is $105 trillion of American wealth not reported by the US government.
In 2020 there was a small group of trillionaires with a combined wealth of $400 trillion or 60% of the world.
The trillionaires combined are worth 36 times the wealth of all the billionaires combined.
Combined Wealth of the World’s Billionaires
Forbes tells of 2,095 billionaires in the world in 2020.
Jeff Bezos tops the list with $ 113 billion.
Bill Gates came in second with $110 billion.
Bernard Arnault was third with around $100 billion ($119.4 billion per another source).
Warren Buffet was fourth with $82.3 billion.
Ephron Taylor was tenth at $10 billion.
The remaining 2,085 billionaires are worth less than $10 billion each.
Rough Calculation of the World’s Billionaires Wealth
10 x $100 billion = $1 trillion; plus 2,085 x $4.8 billion (forced number; high) = $10 trillion
So they are worth $11 trillion all together, on the high side.
World Calculations
From
https://www.savills.com/impacts/market-trends/8-things-you-need-to-know-about-the-value-of-global-real-estate.html
At the end of 2017, the value of the world’s real estate reached US$280.6 trillion.
Further, make the assumption that the site’s bar graph presents all world assets valued as follows:
Real estate $280.6 + financial instruments (105.3 debt + 83.3 equities) $188.6 + oil reserves 114.1 + global GDP 78.3 + gold 7.6 + crypto currencies 0.5 = $669.7 trillion or rounded $670 trillion
From estimate below Canada + US wealth is $143 trillion
$670 - $143 = $527 trillion wealth for the remainder of the world
Assumption the world population is 7 billion plus Canada and the US or 7 billion 368 million.
The average wealth of those is then $527 trillion / 7 billion = $75,000 rounded.
That would include all the people in places like Africa, Mexico and India.
These figures show the average wealth per person on Earth = $670,000 billion / 7.368 billion = $91,000, which in comparison is higher than the above reported figure for those in the US.
India
India has about 1.4 billion people and a quick look at websites gives 677 million adults worth $10,000 or less and 15 million adults worth between $10,001 and $100,000.
So for a rough calculation round 677 + 15 to 700 million (one tenth of 7 billion) and use $10,000 per adult
700 million x $10,000 = $7 trillion
I guess their children would be less wealthy.
Combined Wealth of Canada and the US
My first calculations were using just Canada and the billionaires above but I found removing the border better.
Combined = Canadian + US
Canadian Wealth
Figures from the website https://www.advratings.com/north-america/top-banks-in-canada rounded off to the closest $10 billion show that the Total Assets of Canadian Banks as at July 31, 2020 is $Cdn 7.2 trillion.
$1.70 trillion Toronto Dominion Bank
$1.70 trillion Royal Bank of Canada
$1.17 trillion Bank of Nova Scotia
$1.00 trillion Bank of Montreal
$0.77 trillion Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC)
$0.35 trillion Desjardins Group
$0.32 trillion National Bank of Canada
$0.12 trillion HSBC Bank Canada
$0.04 trillion Laurentian Bank of Canada
$0.03 trillion Canadian Western Bank
Convert the $Cdn to $5 trillion.
Bank Calculation
Assumptions: The $5 trillion is debt receivable from bank customers, all Canadians.
Banks only approve debt instruments to a maximum of 45.45% of the value of their customers’ assets, for example a $9,000 loan with a lien on a $20,000 car.
Roughly, the Total Assets of the Bank Customers is $5 trillion / 45.45% or $11 trillion.
Other large Canadian companies include Brookfield Asset Management with a net worth of about $0.06 trillion, Alimentation Couche-Tard at about $0.03 trillion, and Magna International, George Weston Limited, Power Corporation of Canada, Enbridge, Suncor Energy, Manulife and Onex Corporation. All together they add up to less than $1 trillion.
Real Estate Calculation
According to https://www.zolo.ca/toronto-real-estate/trends in Dec 2020 there are 4548 houses for sale in Toronto asking for an average price of $993,880.
Toronto has over 1.1 million occupied homes.
An estimate of Toronto’s real estate value is 1.1 million x $1 million or Cdn $1.1 trillion, say $0.7 trillion.
Not included in the above is Mississauga which abuts Toronto to the west and has a population of over 700,000 and the other large cities of Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton, Ottawa and Montreal each with populations near or over 1 million.
With say 6 million in population in total a guess of their real estate value might be $2.3 trillion. Adding this to Toronto gives this scribe’s forced figure of $3 trillion in real estate for these cities. Adding in all other large cities such as Halifax gives at least $4 trillion from which is subtracted say $2 trillion in debt (included in bank assets above) to give a value of Canadian Real Estate after bank debt of $2 trillion.
Assumption: the Wealth in Canada is equal to the value of its banks plus the value of its real estate.
So the Wealth in Canada is $11 trillion + $2 trillion = $13 trillion.
Calculation check using a factor 5 (from business valuation calculations): 5 x $1.8 trillion (from Wikipedia below) = $9 trillion (shy but shows $10 trillion magnitude)
Other data: In 2017 Statistics Canada published the figure $295,100 for the median net worth of Canadian families. It reported 2.9 people per family in 2019. $295,100 / 2.9 = $101,800 Canadian or about $71,200 each.
The Canadian population is 37 million, which divided by 2.9 gives 12.75 million families.
12.75 million x $295,100 rounds up to $Cdn 4 trillion or say $3 trillion.
This shows the Canadian government might not be reporting $13 – $10 = $10 trillion of wealth.
US Wealth
The top 30 US banks are worth about $30 trillion.
US businesses include Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Walmart and ExxonMobil.
The US has 10 cities with a population of 1 million or more but has about 9 times Canada’s population.
From the Wikipedia page below the US economy was the largest in the world in 2018 at $20.4 trillion and Canada the tenth largest at $1.8 trillion. So the US economy is $20.4 / $1.8 = 11.33 times that of Canada.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comparison_of_Canadian_and_American_economies
Assumption: US Wealth is ten times that of Canada’s or $130 trillion.
Calculation check using a factor 5 (from business valuation calculations): 5 x $20.4 = $102 trillion (shy but shows $100 trillion magnitude)
The Combined Wealth of Canada and the US = $13 trillion + $130 trillion = $143 trillion.
Missing Wealth Calculation
The US population is 331 million.
$130 trillion / 331 million = $392,000 wealth per person.
That is 5.7 times the $68,828 the 2010 US census reported as the average American net worth.
Adjust the 2010 figure to $75,000 for 2020.
It follows that there is $392,000 - $75,000 = $317,000 missing wealth per person.
Therefore the total unaccounted for wealth in the US is $317,000 x 331 million or $105 trillion.
Simple Comparison
The Combined Wealth of all of the World’s billionaires is $11 trillion as compared to the Combined Wealth of Canada and the US of $143 trillion.
The two countries have combined population of 368 million.
Assumption: Canadians are just as wealthy as Americans at $75,000 each.
The average wealth of Americans and Canadians as a group is then $143 trillion / 368 million = $388,000.
It follows that $388,000 – 75,000 = $313,000 missing wealth per person; and the total unaccounted for Combined Wealth of Canada and the US is $313,000 x 368 million = $115 trillion.
If you assume all of the worlds billionaires live in Canada or the US then there is $115 trillion – $11 trillion = $104 trillion of unaccounted for wealth.
Finally, upon doing subtraction from the two numbers just above ($105 - $104), the ‘amount of unaccounted for wealth in Canada’ $1 trillion popped out, so I pocketed it.
Peace and abundance
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